Spider-Man Needs $45M for the All-Time Record. Its Lead Over Star Wars Is Shrinking.

It already passed Avengers: Endgame ($858.4M) on 25 August, its 25th day, to become the second-biggest domestic release ever. The record it is chasing is $936,662,225.

The run so far

• Opening weekend $360.09M — the all-time record, beating Endgame's $357.1M. Reported on the Sunday as $355M and second-biggest ever; Monday actuals flipped it to first.
• Weekends: $360.1M, $144.3M (−60%), $70.7M (−51%), $39.0M (−45%), $22.2M (−43%).
• Fastest to $500M (7 days) and to $800M (19 days) domestically.
• $1B worldwide in six days, $2B in nineteen — second-fastest on both counts, behind Endgame.
• $2.332B worldwide, now third all-time, just past Avatar: The Way of Water. Budget $225M.

The comparison nobody is running

Against The Force Awakens at the same weekend count:

• After 2 weekends: Spider-Man +$114.3M ahead.
• After 3: +$44.3M.
• After 4: +$42.2M.
• After 5: +$39.2M.

The lead is shrinking, not growing. And The Force Awakens still had $84.4M left in it after its fifth weekend, because it opened on 18 December and rode Christmas and New Year. Brand New Day is decaying at a normal blockbuster rate in the deadest part of the calendar. It needs $45.1M from here.

One published model puts the final domestic total between $906.9M and $981.8M — a range that straddles the record. Passing it requires roughly a 2.6x multiplier on opening weekend; the film is currently at about 2.48x.

And there is a headwind dated 25 September

Disney re-releases Avengers: Endgame that day as Endgame: Encore, with about four minutes of new footage and a Doomsday preview, weighted heavily toward IMAX and premium screens. It will not retake second place — Endgame trails by $33.1M and the biggest modern re-release, Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith, made $42.2M worldwide. But it takes back premium screens in exactly the fortnight Spider-Man needs its last $45M.

The asterisk on the record

Brand New Day has sold roughly 71.5 million domestic tickets. The Force Awakens set its number in 2015 at an average ticket price around $8.40; the 2026 average is above $12. This will be a dollar record, not an attendance one, and the film sits nowhere near the adjusted all-time tier.

It set the biggest opening in history without a single IMAX screen in North America — every one was locked to The Odyssey until 6 August. Then it made up the difference in ScreenX, 4DX and Dolby, and still could fall short of a record everyone has already awarded it.

Also true

Biggest is not best-liked. It holds a 98% audience score, a franchise record, against an 89% critic score — the lowest of Tom Holland's four Spider-Man films — a Metascore of 66, and an A CinemaScore where No Way Home got an A+. Destin Daniel Cretton directs; Sadie Sink debuts as Jean Grey. Kevin Feige has confirmed it is set before Avengers: Doomsday, out 18 December.